BIOS601 Resources: Likelihood
[updated October 4, 2020]
Lecture Notes (Nandini Dendukuri)
Lecture Notes (J Hanley)
Clayton and Hills Textbook
Datasets / Software / Articles ...
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Article 1774: Laplace's 1774 Memoir on Inverse Probability
pdf
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Article 1778: Daniel Bernoulli's 1778 article: The most probable choice between several discrepant observations and
the formation therefrom of the most likely induction
pdf
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Article 1878: A List of Writings related to the Method of Least Squares, with historical and critical Notes. By Mansfield Merriman, 1878.
pdf
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Article 1894 Mean and variability of velocity of (younger and older) homing pigeons
Fanshawe: Significance 2011
Galton: Homing News and Pigeon Fanciers' Journal 1894
How did Galton, on p 159, arrive at the '124 yards/min'
measure of 'variability' ?
See also how he obtained the median from 2 percentiles
R code for ML/MinChiSq/Otherwise estimation of mean and SD [incl 'optim' call]
Output/Graphs
Galton on
"Grades and Deviates"
"The Median Estimate"
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Article 1898: Sheppard WF
"On the Calculation of the most
probable Values of Frequency Constants for Data
arranged according to Equidistant Divisions of a Scale,"
Proc. Lond. Math. Soc., vol. 29, p. 353.
link
R simulations (JH 2016) showing correlations
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Article 1912: Fisher RA
On an absolute criterion for fitting frequency curves.
Reproduced from "Messenger of Mathematics", v. 41: 155-160 (1912)
pdf
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Article 1916: Kirstine SMITH
On an 'best' values of the constants in frequency distributions.
Biometrika, xi., p. 262.
pdf
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Article 1922: Fisher RA
On the Mathematical Foundations of Theoretical Statistics
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London.
Series A, Containing Papers of a Mathematical or Physical Character, Vol. 222 (1922), pp. 309-368)
pdf
- MLE, directly, and by E-M algorithm, of sigma -- Fisher's 300 N(0,sigma) errors
data and R code
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Article ( a propos Fisher's dilution series data): Douglas VanDerwerken.
What Petri dishes have to do with your research.
Significance Magazine, June 2012.
pdf
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Article 1947 Tumbler Mortality - article
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Tumbler Mortality - data [used in Dendukuri R code]
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Tumbler Mortality - R code for simulated timelines and MLE [JH]
Simulated tumbler timelines
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Article 1968 Age at menarche in Warsaw girls in 1965
R code
Article 1968 Age at menarche in Wroclaw, Poland girls in 1966
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Textbook 1972 Portions of Chapters 3 and 6 of Edwards' textbook on Likelihood.
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Article 1973: Peto R.
Experimental Survival Curves for Interval-Censored Data
[Onset of puberty in New Guinea females: interval-censored observations
of 196 subjects.]
J Royal Statistical Society. Series C (Applied Statistics), Vol. 22, No. 1
(1973), pp. 86-91
pdf
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Article 1974: Jenicek M and Demirjian A.
Age at menarche in French Canadian urban girls.
Annals of Human Biology,1974,Vol.1,NO.3, 339-346.
pdf
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Article 1976: Atwood CL and Taube A.
Estimating Mean Time to Reach a Milestone, Using Retrospective Data.
Biometrics, Vol. 32, No. 1 (Mar., 1976), pp. 159-172.
pdf
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Article 1977 Maximum Likelihood from Incomplete Data via the EM Algorithm
A. P. Dempster; N. M. Laird; D. B. Rubin
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological), Vol. 39, No. 1. (1977), pp. 1-38.
pdf
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Article 1994: Falk et al. Avalanche survival chances. Nature, 1994.
pdf DATA .txt
R Code for ML fit of exponential/ mix of gamma distributions [new 2013.10.07]
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Article 1997: Aldrich J
R. A. Fisher and the Making of Maximum
Likelihood 1912-1922
Statistical Science 1997, Vol. 12, No. 3, 162-176
pdf
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R code for C&H and other Likelihood Calculations [Dendukuri]
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Article 2006 Digit preference bias in the recording of emergency department times. pdf
Data csv
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Article 2011: Tibshirani RJ, Price A, and Taylor J
A statistician plays darts.
J. R. Statist. Soc. A (2011) 174, Part 1, pp. 213-226.
pdf
authors' website
R code
Letter 2011 S. Sadhukhan, Z Liu, and J Hanley.
Practical and efficient estimates of one's accuracy in darts.
J. R. Statist. Soc. A (2011) to appear.
pdf
R code to create Figure
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Article 2018 Maternal age at menarche and
pubertal development in sons and daughters: a Nationwide Cohort Study
Article 2018 Timing of puberty in boys and girls: A population-based study